Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:48:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33eb…0241
sports · 355 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses238 / 114
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)352 / 355
History coverage83d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 3 History 352 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$2
14 days+$11
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Yes 60¢ 68¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? Yes 83¢ 88¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 67¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14? No 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 25? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osorio Janice Tjen 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jesper de Jong 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Yulia Starodubtseva Anna Blinkova 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 10? No 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7? Jun 08 $2 +$2 +99%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +45%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +72%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 05 $1 +$1 +114%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1 +$2 +165%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3? Jun 04 $3 +$2 +56%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2? Jun 03 $3 +$2 +78%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1? Jun 02 $1 +$1 +81%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +43%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $1 +$1 +114%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $1 +$2 +158%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $1 $0 +31%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $1 +$1 +50%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $1 +$2 +226%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 31? May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 30? May 30 $2 +$3 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29? May 30 $1 +$2 +177%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 30 $1 +$2 +180%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 30 $1 +$3 +307%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29? May 29 $1 −$1 -95%
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakova May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28? May 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 32% −$4
sports 30% +$2
weather 20% −$19
other 13% +$8
finance 2% $0
world 2% −$1
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $1 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $1 43h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 43h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 2d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 51¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? BUY Yes 72¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 32¢ $1 4d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 5d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 6d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 33¢ $1 6d
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs BUY No 51¢ $1 6d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 23¢ $1 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Maja Chwalinska 19¢ $1 7d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 8d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Maja Chwalinska 46¢ $1 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Jakub Mensik 23¢ $1 9d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $1 9d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 37¢ $1 9d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 10d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev BUY Rafael Jodar 21¢ $1 11d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -1.7% -11.0% 53% 53% -2.5%
≤30d 88 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 44% -0.0%
≤90d 352 -2.5% -11.8% 68% 36% -11.1%
all 352 -2.5% -11.8% 68% 36% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 36% -11.1%
10% -20.3% 26% -19.6%
15% -28.0% 21% -27.4%
20% -35.0% 18% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.05 · official $4.05 (match) · 687 history records