Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33e0…1c60
crypto · 118 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$196
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses103 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)107 / 118
History coverage6d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 11 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by less than 10%? No 95¢ 98¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 97¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Spread: Bolivia (-1.5) Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$14
politics 9% +$4
finance 4% +$1
sports 2% +$1
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 17h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $20 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $20 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 95¢ $20 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 25h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? BUY No 92¢ $15 25h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? BUY Yes 92¢ $15 25h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 96¢ $19 25h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $15 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 107 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 107 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 0% -10.2%
all 107 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -10.2%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $196.27 · official $195.69 (match) · 222 history records