Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33d8…cdab
crypto · 23 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses12 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$3
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -6.3% -15.2% 52% 30% -14.8%
≤30d 23 -6.3% -15.2% 52% 30% -14.8%
≤90d 23 -6.3% -15.2% 52% 30% -14.8%
all 23 -6.3% -15.2% 52% 30% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 30% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 17% -23.0%
15% -30.7% 9% -30.4%
20% -37.5% 4% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 96 history records