Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33c2…06a7
crypto · 1748 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1,283 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,279 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$1,279
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses676 / 723
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1399 / 1748
History coverage29d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day103.6
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1399 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$812
7 days−$665
14 days+$67
30 days+$1,279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 10¢ 22¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+132%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,398
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $21 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $32 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $42 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 494 -28.0% -34.9% 27% 27% -35.8%
≤30d 1399 +9.1% -1.3% 48% 47% +2.3%
≤90d 1399 +9.1% -1.3% 48% 47% +2.3%
all 1399 +9.1% -1.3% 48% 47% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 47% +2.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.7% 45% -7.5%
15% -19.3% 43% -16.4%
20% -27.3% 40% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.95 · official $15.29 · 3500 history records