trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ismael Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $29 | +$7 | +24% |
| Will Tahith Chong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $9 | +$4 | +46% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $37 | +$36 | +97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $18 | +$4 | +26% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 11 | $23 | +$10 | +42% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 11 | $42 | −$13 | -31% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $7 | +$2 | +27% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | Jun 07 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 60% | 60% | +9.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 60% | 60% | +9.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 60% | 60% | +9.4% |
| all | 10 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 60% | 60% | +9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 60% | +9.4% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 60% | -1.1% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 30% | -10.6% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 10% | -19.4% |