Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:34:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x33a2…96d5 crypto 353 markets active 1h ago coverage 81d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 80d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$16,245 (+2%) realized +$16,245 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate99%351W / 2L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$2,285per market
Trades / day38.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$307
14 days+$315
30 days+$1,669
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$13,374
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +2.3% -7.5% 100% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 68 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 6% -6.7%
≤90d 353 +9.1% -1.3% 99% 5% -8.6%
all 353 +9.1% -1.3% 99% 5% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 5% -8.6%
10% -10.7% 3% -17.4%
15% ← realistic here -19.4% 2% -25.4%
20% -27.3% 2% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 39% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$3,532) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +16% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$71 vs −$5,799 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.15 per $1 lost it wins $2.15
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

81d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$16,245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses351 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)353 / 353
History coverage81d ⚠
Avg bet$2,285
Trades / day38.8
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 353 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 29 $57 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 29 $455 +$14 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 28 $430 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 27 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $185 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $539 +$32 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $362 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $801 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $790 +$40 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 26 $894 +$9 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 26 $482 +$37 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $104 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $407 +$14 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $562 +$29 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $359 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $3,436 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $1,700 +$24 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $3,377 +$62 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $200 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $713 +$15 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 21 $588 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $170 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $258 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $547 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $388 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,004 +$49 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $178 +$22 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1,383 +$31 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1,480 +$17 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,221 +$25 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $734 +$7 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,266 +$243 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $975 +$21 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $423 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $653 +$47 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $837 +$10 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1,205 +$27 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $367 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $627 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $451 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $2,053 +$32 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $1,175 +$12 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1,085 +$86 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $1,007 +$19 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $793 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $2,172 +$324 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 07 $471 +$6 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $453 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $430 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $185 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $539 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $43 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $362 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $783 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $790 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records