trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 33% | 27% | -13.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 44% | 22% | -13.3% |
| all | 19 | -5.6% | -14.5% | 42% | 21% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 21% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 5% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -36.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | $64 | $63 | −$1 (-1%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $54 | $54 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $21 | $21 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 27 | $71 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 27 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $105 | −$10 | -10% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 05 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 05 | $18 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 05 | $6 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | -27% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 30 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | Feb 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |