Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:41:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3383…e67f
crypto · 37 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$9 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses25 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
Avg bet$3
Trades / day37.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +51%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$10
other 7% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -6.5% -15.4% 68% 62% -17.8%
≤30d 37 -6.5% -15.4% 68% 62% -17.8%
≤90d 37 -6.5% -15.4% 68% 62% -17.8%
all 37 -6.5% -15.4% 68% 62% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 62% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 49% -25.6%
15% -30.9% 38% -32.8%
20% -37.7% 19% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 62 history records