Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x3382…d8cb crypto 701 markets active 1h ago coverage 50d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 49d only
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,079 (-17%) realized −$2,079 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate52%365W / 336L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day63.4pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$141
7 days−$1,125
14 days−$1,450
30 days−$1,680
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$1,996
other 4% −$99
sports 2% −$8
world 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -29.4% -36.1% 43% 35% -35.2%
≤30d 419 -12.8% -21.1% 52% 46% -25.4%
≤90d 701 -13.1% -21.4% 52% 45% -25.4%
all 701 -13.1% -21.4% 52% 45% -25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.4% 45% -25.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 35% -32.5%
15% -35.8% 26% -39.0%
20% -42.1% 17% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$14 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,079
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses365 / 336
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)701 / 701
History coverage50d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day63.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 701 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $38 +$17 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $63 +$34 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$22 -94%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $52 −$26 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $58 −$55 -94%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $29 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$37 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$44 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $83 −$78 -94%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $119 +$70 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$93 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $58 +$17 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $182 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $152 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$49 +507%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $49 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $63 +$48 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $134 −$96 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$51 +252%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $20 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $14 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records