Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x337b…7e26
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,819 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,818 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$411
Realized−$3,818
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses180 / 602
Open positions1
Markets (closed)782 / 305
History coverage1d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day2857.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,818
7 days−$3,818
14 days−$3,818
30 days−$3,818
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $68 $137 +$69 (+102%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $42 $124 +$81 (+191%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $29 $46 +$17 (+56%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $37 $42 +$5 (+13%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $26 $38 +$13 (+49%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 55¢ 50¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-9%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+88%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+285%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+178%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+60%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$81 +191%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$5 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +64%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +88%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +106%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$414
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $0 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-58.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 782 -54.5% -58.9% 23% 16% -26.1%
≤30d 782 -54.5% -58.9% 23% 16% -26.1%
≤90d 782 -54.5% -58.9% 23% 16% -26.1%
all 782 -54.5% -58.9% 23% 16% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2857.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.9% 16% -26.1%
10% ← realistic here -62.8% 11% -33.1%
15% -66.4% 8% -39.6%
20% -69.7% 5% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $411.19 · official $394.91 · 3500 history records