Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:43:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x3375…a69c crypto 289 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1071 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9,730 (-48%) realized −$9,730 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate62%180W / 109L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$70per market
Trades / day1071.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1071 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 -11.1% -19.6% 62% 27% -10.0%
≤30d 289 -11.1% -19.6% 62% 27% -10.0%
≤90d 289 -11.1% -19.6% 62% 27% -10.0%
all 289 -11.1% -19.6% 62% 27% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1071.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 27% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 22% -18.6%
15% -34.3% 17% -26.5%
20% -40.7% 14% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +21% → late -43% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$32 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,730
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses180 / 109
Open positions0
Markets (closed)289 / 289
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$70
Trades / day1071.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 289 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$40 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$23 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $47 +$73 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $215 −$107 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $89 −$75 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $217 −$151 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $125 −$119 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $195 −$175 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $32 −$24 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $192 −$187 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $97 −$62 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $39 −$31 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $427 −$233 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $162 −$143 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $74 −$68 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $32 −$27 -83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $19 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $19 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $22 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records