Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3373…0c24
crypto · 134 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$26 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses59 / 57
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions16
Markets (closed)116 / 134
History coverage29d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 16 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$3
14 days−$12
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 66¢ 68¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+22%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 15¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Yes 24¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$3 +276%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +62%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$21
sports 23% −$5
other 22% −$3
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 21h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 29h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 29h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 22¢ $1 29h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Australia win on 2026- BUY 5¢ $1 29h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $5 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 31h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 2d
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 4d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 7d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 7d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -11.2% -19.6% 45% 45% -18.2%
≤30d 116 -12.5% -20.9% 51% 51% -19.7%
≤90d 116 -12.5% -20.9% 51% 51% -19.7%
all 116 -12.5% -20.9% 51% 51% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 51% -19.7%
10% -28.4% 42% -27.4%
15% -35.3% 34% -34.4%
20% -41.7% 24% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.24 · official $24.15 (match) · 220 history records