Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T11:05:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x336b…2126 crypto 1140 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (138 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$668 (+4%) realized +$668 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate82%930W / 209L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day137.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$323
14 days−$243
30 days−$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$216
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (138 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 752 +1.3% -8.4% 75% 24% -13.0%
≤30d 1139 +1.8% -7.9% 82% 19% -10.6%
≤90d 1139 +1.8% -7.9% 82% 19% -10.6%
all 1139 +1.8% -7.9% 82% 19% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover137.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 19% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 4% -19.2%
15% -24.7% 3% -27.0%
20% -32.1% 2% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$668
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses930 / 209
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1139 / 1140
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day137.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1139 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 26 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3AM ET Jun 24 $102 +$14 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2AM ET Jun 24 $158 −$32 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1AM ET Jun 24 $103 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET Jun 24 $105 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $27 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $47 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $61 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $62 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $43 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.23 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records