trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 24 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 17 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 15 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Sep 09 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Sep 08 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 05 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 02 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 02 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Sep 02 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 02 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August? | Sep 02 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | Sep 02 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Aug 29 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 28 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Aug 28 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Aug 26 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 26 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Aug 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Aug 25 | $27 | $0 | +0% |