Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:49:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x334c…2dce
crypto · 243 markets active 8h ago
2.0score
+$10 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses119 / 124
Open positions0
Markets (closed)243 / 243
Avg bet$2
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$8
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$5 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 +1.8% -7.9% 49% 48% -8.0%
≤30d 243 +3.8% -6.1% 49% 48% -7.7%
≤90d 243 +3.8% -6.1% 49% 48% -7.7%
all 243 +3.8% -6.1% 49% 48% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 48% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 47% -16.6%
15% -23.3% 46% -24.6%
20% -30.8% 46% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 516 history records