trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +48.9% | +34.8% | 47% | 47% | +30.4% |
| ≤30d | 33 | +27.3% | +15.2% | 52% | 48% | +13.4% |
| ≤90d | 91 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 52% | 49% | +2.1% |
| all | 97 | +5.2% | -4.8% | 54% | 52% | +2.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.8% | 52% | +2.4% |
| 10% | -13.9% | 46% | -7.4% |
| 15% | -22.3% | 39% | -16.3% |
| 20% | -29.9% | 34% | -24.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 42¢ | 40¢ | $357 | $345 | −$12 (-3%) |
| Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25¢ | 22¢ | $253 | $225 | −$28 (-11%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 26¢ | 42¢ | $100 | $160 | +$60 (+60%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $150 | $152 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $203 | $149 | −$54 (-27%) |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 46¢ | 56¢ | $100 | $123 | +$23 (+23%) |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 28¢ | 16¢ | $100 | $55 | −$45 (-45%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $102 | +$282 | +276% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $152 | +$167 | +109% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $152 | +$136 | +90% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | +$298 | +291% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | +$332 | +325% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$268 | +262% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $41 | +$74 | +180% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $152 | +$121 | +79% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $152 | +$142 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $172 | +$188 | +109% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers | Jun 06 | $127 | −$125 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $567 | +$20 | +4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $445 | −$440 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 29 | $543 | −$24 | -4% |
| Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29? | May 29 | $465 | +$243 | +52% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | May 27 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | May 26 | $152 | +$154 | +101% |
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $305 | +$373 | +122% |
| Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23? | May 23 | $152 | +$151 | +99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 23 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 22 | $152 | +$148 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $152 | +$174 | +114% |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $153 | −$52 | -34% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $264 | −$100 | -38% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 18 | $261 | +$162 | +62% |
| Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-16? | May 16 | $202 | +$120 | +60% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15? | May 15 | $273 | +$184 | +67% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 13 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $791 | +$229 | +29% |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $404 | −$400 | -99% |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $227 | +$126 | +55% |
| Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | May 09 | $76 | +$105 | +137% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 09 | $203 | +$155 | +76% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $202 | +$101 | +50% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $554 | +$151 | +27% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 05 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 04 | $148 | −$147 | -100% |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01? | May 04 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |