Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:14:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x333a…dc3f
sports · 113 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,101 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,103 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$1,103
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses64 / 38
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions11
Markets (closed)102 / 113
History coverage64d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 11 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 53¢ 80¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+52%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 56¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 57¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 55¢ 55¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 80¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage INOX Division 77¢ 67¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs fnatic 33¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-35%)
Nuggets vs. Spurs Spurs 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics Athletics 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers Miami Marlins 45¢ 0¢ $1,042 $0 −$1,042 (-100%)
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16? Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane Terence Atmane 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-04-13? No 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Boulazac vs. Chalon/Saone Chalon/Saone 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage FOKUS Sakura 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs Rex Regum Qeon 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva Obras 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Basquet Club Andorra CB Breogan Lugo 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-14? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Indonesia Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +134%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Jun 14 $2 +$3 +165%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse Jun 14 $3 +$4 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agu May 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fo May 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton May 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane May 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans May 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Bangladesh win? May 08 $2 −$1 -99%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants May 08 $6 −$6 -98%
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 May 08 $1 +$4 +276%
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: St May 08 $2 +$4 +180%
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Gro May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoff May 05 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26? May 05 $12 $0 +0%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Apr 26 $129 −$129 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of April 20 2026? Apr 26 $1 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Euro Apr 26 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 26 $1 $0 +0%
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Reg Apr 26 $1 $0 +36%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs yngods (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Apr 26 $1 $0 +36%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of April 20 2026? Apr 26 $2 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of April 20 2026? Apr 26 $2 $0 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - Apr 26 $2 +$1 +50%
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Apr 26 $1 +$2 +114%
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekh Apr 26 $1 +$3 +276%
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH Apr 22 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Onl Apr 22 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch Apr 22 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: RED Academy vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Re Apr 22 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challeng Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Gwangju: Ilia Simakin vs Soon-Woo Kwon Apr 21 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 21 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 21 $1 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 21 $1 +$1 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 21 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 +$2 +82%
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Apr 19 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Apr 19 $2 +$1 +70%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Apr 19 $6 +$4 +67%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Apr 19 $7 +$5 +76%
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Apr 18 $6 −$6 -99%
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics Apr 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$1,230
crypto 13% +$134
other 2% −$7
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 80¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY fnatic 33¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY INOX Division 77¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 98¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $2 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 57¢ $2 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 36d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 36d
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 36d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 36d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse BUY Frances Tiafoe 41¢ $3 36d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca BUY Hamad Medjedovic 37¢ $2 36d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agu BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 38¢ $3 36d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fo BUY Cristian Garin 41¢ $2 36d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton BUY Ben Shelton 78¢ $2 36d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane BUY Terence Atmane 29¢ $3 36d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans BUY Rajasthan Royals 55¢ $3 36d
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Indonesia BUY Samoa 44¢ $1 36d
Will Bangladesh win? BUY No 53¢ $2 36d
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 48¢ $1 36d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ $6 36d
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Gro BUY FOKUS Sakura 34¢ $1 39d
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoff BUY Rex Regum Qeon 54¢ $2 39d
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: St BUY M80 35¢ $2 39d
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 BUY Division One 26¢ $1 39d
Cavaliers vs. Raptors BUY Cavaliers 56¢ $129 48d
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26? BUY No 100¢ $12 48d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +71.1% +54.8% 100% 56% +67.9%
≤30d 9 +71.1% +54.8% 100% 56% +67.9%
≤90d 102 +2.2% -7.6% 63% 47% -71.5%
all 102 +2.2% -7.6% 63% 47% -71.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 47% -71.5%
10% -16.4% 44% -74.3%
15% -24.5% 37% -76.7%
20% -31.9% 29% -79.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.56 · official $17.56 (match) · 216 history records