Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:00:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x332c…7175
crypto · 780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$507 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$509 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$509
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses341 / 438
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)779 / 780
History coverage13d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day219.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 779 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$234
14 days−$509
30 days−$509
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Down 50¢ 98¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+95%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Elias Ymer 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Kayla Day 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$6 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$13 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $57 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$482
sports 32% −$28
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 513 -14.2% -22.3% 38% 25% -13.8%
≤30d 779 -16.3% -24.2% 44% 24% -16.7%
≤90d 779 -16.3% -24.2% 44% 24% -16.7%
all 779 -16.3% -24.2% 44% 24% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 24% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -31.5% 19% -24.6%
15% -38.1% 17% -31.9%
20% -44.2% 14% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.88 · official $4.88 (match) · 3414 history records