trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -14.1% | -22.2% | 20% | 7% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 39% | 22% | +13.5% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 39% | 22% | +13.5% |
| all | 23 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 39% | 22% | +13.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.8% | 22% | +13.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -23.9% | 17% | +2.7% |
| 15% | -31.2% | 13% | -7.3% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 4% | -16.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 24? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $29 | $30 | +$1 (+2%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-33%) |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 24? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-71%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first rou | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 24? | Jun 22 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in | Jun 22 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 23? | Jun 22 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026? | Jun 22 | $25 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24? | Jun 22 | $29 | −$1 | -4% |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? | Jun 22 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m | Jun 19 | $61 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m? | Jun 19 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m | Jun 19 | $31 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m | Jun 19 | $19 | $0 | -2% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m? | Jun 18 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | +15% |
| Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | Jun 15 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2 | Jun 09 | $248 | +$58 | +23% |
| Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than | Jun 05 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $13,734 | +$9,737 | +71% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $32,407 | +$1,061 | +3% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5,586 | +$2,482 | +44% |