trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +185% |
| Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -5% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -99% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 17% | 17% | -26.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 17% | 17% | -26.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 17% | 17% | -26.5% |
| all | 6 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 17% | 17% | -26.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +2.7% | 17% | -26.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -7.1% | 17% | -33.6% |
| 15% | -16.1% | 17% | -40.0% |
| 20% | -24.3% | 17% | -45.9% |