Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x331d…d39d
crypto · 239 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$604 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$602 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$437
Realized−$602
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses104 / 132
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)236 / 239
History coverage4d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day302.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$223
7 days−$602
14 days−$602
30 days−$602
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 57¢ $229 $264 +$35 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 42¢ 42¢ $112 $113 +$1 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 78¢ $20 $31 +$11 (+55%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 34¢ 22¢ $17 $12 −$6 (-33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 37¢ 16¢ $22 $10 −$12 (-56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 57¢ 84¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+46%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $163 +$10 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $132 +$25 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$14 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $72 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$18 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$14 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$32 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $149 −$2 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $157 +$28 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$14 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$5 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$4 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $182 −$30 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$6 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$14 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $169 +$29 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$14 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$68 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$44 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$55 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$47 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$60 +125%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$51 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$48 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$39 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$74 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$81 +154%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$48 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$52 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$73 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$102 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $91 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$36 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$602
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $37 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $9 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -7.3% -16.2% 44% 41% -14.1%
≤30d 236 -7.3% -16.2% 44% 41% -14.1%
≤90d 236 -7.3% -16.2% 44% 41% -14.1%
all 236 -7.3% -16.2% 44% 41% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover302.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 41% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 36% -22.3%
15% -31.5% 35% -29.8%
20% -38.2% 35% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $437.11 · official $467.12 · 1321 history records