Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:03:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x3310…1d78 crypto 264 markets active 1h ago coverage 53d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$6,501 (-3%) realized −$6,501 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate48%128W / 136L
Whale WR47%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$815per market
Trades / day61.4pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,981
7 days−$7,016
14 days−$6,505
30 days−$10,161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7,215
other 0% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +24.9% +13.0% 34% 34% -36.2%
≤30d 106 +6.5% -3.6% 44% 44% -18.7%
≤90d 264 +1.4% -8.2% 48% 47% -12.9%
all 264 +1.4% -8.2% 48% 47% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 47% -12.9%
10% -17.0% 45% -21.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.0% 43% -28.8%
20% -32.4% 41% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 47% (≥$1,052) neutral
Persistence
early -0% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$653 vs −$668 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,501
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses128 / 136
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)264 / 264
History coverage53d ⚠
Avg bet$815
Trades / day61.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 264 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $826 +$672 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $1,445 +$1,118 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $517 −$439 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $1,036 −$431 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $793 −$629 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $517 −$517 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $793 −$793 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $1,135 −$1,135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $1,032 −$248 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $828 −$612 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $413 +$363 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $827 +$742 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $204 +$184 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $926 +$748 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $203 −$170 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $1,018 +$1,561 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $930 −$839 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $314 −$188 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $311 −$280 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $517 +$448 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $414 −$414 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $724 +$614 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $207 −$145 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $517 −$424 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $621 −$550 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $103 +$54 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $517 +$478 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $408 +$161 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $1,719 −$1,684 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $621 −$621 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $827 −$827 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $1,135 −$1,135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $2,792 −$2,682 -96%
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 0 Scotland? Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $1,112 +$1,044 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $411 −$327 -80%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $85 −$35 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 05 $825 +$606 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 05 $931 −$734 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 05 $930 +$770 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 05 $1,448 −$1,331 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $1,444 −$15 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $1,031 +$754 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 05 $205 +$111 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $1,447 −$1,447 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 05 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 05 $413 +$346 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 05 $104 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 05 $826 +$681 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $93 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $64 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $47 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $167 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $91 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.27 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records