Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:45:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3308…f04b
sports · 336 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11,295 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,257 · open −$185
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,009
Realized+$11,257
Unrealized−$185
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses149 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$903
Open positions39
Markets (closed)297 / 336
History coverage9d
Avg bet$257
Trades / day300.4
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 39 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,420
7 days+$6,854
14 days+$11,257
30 days+$11,257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 74¢ 69¢ $994 $937 −$57 (-6%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 30¢ 30¢ $341 $351 +$10 (+3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Under 78¢ 97¢ $61 $76 +$15 (+25%)
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Knicks 96¢ 92¢ $52 $50 −$2 (-4%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 41¢ 21¢ $97 $50 −$47 (-49%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Knicks 53¢ 55¢ $44 $46 +$2 (+5%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Spurs 50¢ 45¢ $46 $42 −$4 (-9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Yue Yuan 15¢ 13¢ $47 $41 −$6 (-13%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Over 20¢ 24¢ $28 $34 +$6 (+20%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Under 49¢ 95¢ $16 $31 +$15 (+94%)
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Spurs 48¢ 46¢ $32 $31 −$1 (-4%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Knicks 52¢ 30¢ $49 $29 −$20 (-41%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Knicks 24¢ 34¢ $18 $27 +$9 (+47%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Spurs 64¢ 66¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+2%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Spurs 48¢ 62¢ $18 $23 +$5 (+30%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Knicks 49¢ 38¢ $30 $23 −$7 (-23%)
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Spurs 12¢ 8¢ $25 $16 −$9 (-36%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5 Under 31¢ 78¢ $6 $16 +$9 (+150%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Knicks 59¢ 62¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+6%)
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Knicks 65¢ 74¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+15%)
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Knicks 58¢ 47¢ $16 $13 −$3 (-19%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 50¢ 24¢ $26 $12 −$14 (-53%)
Spread: Spurs (-21.5) Spurs 22¢ 28¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+27%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Under 54¢ 92¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+71%)
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Knicks 15¢ 10¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-35%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 Jun 14 $56 −$17 -31%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 14 $41 −$1 -3%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $492 +$58 +12%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $36 +$20 +55%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $237 +$23 +10%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $174 +$114 +65%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $67 +$8 +12%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $36 +$9 +24%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $58 +$30 +51%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $174 +$28 +16%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $50 +$10 +20%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $187 −$82 -44%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $384 +$327 +85%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $817 +$99 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $307 −$128 -42%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 13 $279 −$33 -12%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $94 −$63 -67%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 13 $273 −$125 -46%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 13 $241 −$101 -42%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $2,250 +$750 +33%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $232 +$24 +11%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $123 +$397 +322%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $550 +$18 +3%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $107 +$25 +23%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $329 +$39 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $679 +$463 +68%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $155 +$60 +39%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $217 +$75 +34%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $16 +$12 +72%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $330 +$42 +13%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $221 −$80 -36%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $54 +$4 +7%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $260 +$19 +7%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1,376 +$265 +19%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $89 +$53 +59%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 12 $190 −$12 -6%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 12 $301 −$16 -5%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 12 $80 −$8 -10%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $82 −$25 -31%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $91 −$67 -74%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $499 −$499 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 12 $188 −$28 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$10,622
tech 3% +$450
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 62¢ $44 0m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $13 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $148 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $136 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $15 5m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $25 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $147 5m
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) BUY Knicks 96¢ $52 5m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 51¢ $25 5m
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) BUY Spurs 9¢ $5 5m
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) BUY Spurs 10¢ $5 6m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $13 6m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 17¢ $6 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 32¢ $13 10m
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 64¢ $25 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 17¢ $6 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 17¢ $4 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $6 11m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $5 12m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $13 12m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 74¢ $33 12m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $14 13m
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $15 13m
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $5 13m
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $19 13m
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $5 13m
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 59¢ $14 14m
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Spurs 49¢ $36 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 71¢ $45 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $19 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 266 -11.1% -19.5% 46% 34% +0.3%
≤30d 297 -4.9% -14.0% 50% 38% +3.1%
≤90d 297 -4.9% -14.0% 50% 38% +3.1%
all 297 -4.9% -14.0% 50% 38% +3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover300.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 38% +3.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 29% -6.8%
15% -29.7% 23% -15.8%
20% -36.6% 17% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,008.63 · official $2,029.26 · 3500 history records