Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:15:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3304…1c1c
sports · 546 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,327 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,327 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,327
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses365 / 181
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$286
Open positions0
Markets (closed)546 / 546
History coverage21d
Avg bet$207
Trades / day65.8
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 546 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,310
7 days+$2,832
14 days+$2,566
30 days+$2,327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 83¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur Clara Tauson 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage fnatic 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 94¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Tereza Valentova vs Magda Linette Tereza Valentova 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 89¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles 84¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 95¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Detroit Tigers 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Detroit Tigers 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Caty McNally Ajla Tomljanovic 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $7,319 +$220 +3%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carles Cordoba vs Stefano D'agostino Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Jan Kumstat Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $456 +$34 +8%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic Jun 13 $1,613 −$243 -15%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
ITF Madrid: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Marta Soriano Santiago Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
ITF Merzig: Marie Weckerle vs Valentina Steiner Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Caijsa Hennemann vs Julia Avdeeva Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Jun 13 $5 $0 -8%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 13 $5 $0 -10%
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
ITF Monastir: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ilay Yoruk Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Lan Mi Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 13 $220 −$4 -2%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Nicolas Oliveira Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
ITF Los Angeles: Maria Aytoyan vs Monika Ekstrand Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,328
other 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 99¢ $5 13m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 99¢ $5 14m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 98¢ $5 14m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 97¢ $5 24m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 99¢ $5 26m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 99¢ $7,524 31m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 98¢ $5 31m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 99¢ $5 37m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 99¢ $5 37m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 86¢ $4 40m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 99¢ $5 41m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 96¢ $5 42m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 96¢ $5 44m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 98¢ $5 48m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 96¢ $7,309 1h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov SELL Alina Shcherbinina 99¢ $5 1h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alina Shcherbinina 99¢ $5 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $5 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 96¢ $5 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves SELL Carolina Alves 85¢ $4 2h
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 99¢ $5 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 93¢ $5 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 98¢ $5 2h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson SELL Andrew Johnson 99¢ $5 3h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson BUY Andrew Johnson 98¢ $5 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 99¢ $5 5h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 98¢ $5 5h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carles Cordoba vs Stefano D'agostino SELL Stefano Dagostino 99¢ $5 6h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carles Cordoba vs Stefano D'agostino BUY Stefano Dagostino 98¢ $5 6h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam SELL Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 99¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -3.0% -12.2% 64% 2% -4.5%
≤30d 546 -4.9% -14.0% 67% 11% -7.7%
≤90d 546 -4.9% -14.0% 67% 11% -7.7%
all 546 -4.9% -14.0% 67% 11% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 11% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 1% -16.5%
15% -29.7% 0% -24.6%
20% -36.6% 0% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1743 history records