Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:19:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32ff…0ff8
other · 172 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$1,016 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$756 · open −$185
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,304
Realized+$756
Unrealized−$185
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses140 / 28
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions4
Markets (closed)168 / 172
History coverage109d
Avg bet$1,056
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 4 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$190
7 days+$64
14 days+$110
30 days+$343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $1,589 $1,577 −$13 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 87¢ 82¢ $1,500 $1,422 −$78 (-5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 84¢ 80¢ $1,000 $946 −$54 (-5%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 73¢ 66¢ $400 $359 −$41 (-10%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23? No 93¢ 0¢ $279 $0 −$279 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23? No 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $326 $0 −$326 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No 59¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $1,000 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $501 +$2 +0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1,801 +$37 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $400 +$16 +4%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 +$17 +33%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $402 +$44 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $3,006 −$191 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $30 +$19 +61%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $4,279 +$244 +6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $301 +$24 +8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Jun 12 $601 +$24 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $601 +$24 +4%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$43 +210%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $217 +$90 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $819 −$66 -8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $352 +$24 +7%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 10 $328 −$326 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,000 +$9 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $300 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $175 +$2 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1,401 +$23 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $781 +$12 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $941 +$10 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $301 +$14 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $100 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $1,002 +$44 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $700 +$7 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $151 +$25 +17%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2? Jun 02 $1,017 +$16 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $498 −$67 -14%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $602 +$23 +4%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $77 +$2 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $788 −$71 -9%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $301 +$26 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $400 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30? May 30 $2,001 +$19 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $121 +$11 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $81 +$119 +146%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28? May 29 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26? May 26 $1,702 +$29 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $87 +$21 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? May 25 $500 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 25? May 25 $300 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $1,501 +$10 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $501 +$19 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24? May 24 $21 +$52 +247%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23? May 23 $279 −$279 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23? May 23 $340 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23? May 23 $500 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 45% +$655
other 40% −$548
world 10% +$336
sports 3% −$168
tech 3% +$314
finance 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 95¢ $1,592 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $306 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $99 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $99 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $99 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $398 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $503 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $1,005 2h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 73¢ $403 2h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 87¢ $1,506 2h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1,000 10h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $501 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 94¢ $67 11h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $50 11h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $400 11h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 98¢ $1,801 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 97¢ $446 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 87¢ $402 14h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 91¢ $2,815 32h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $3,006 33h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 96¢ $321 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? SELL Yes 99¢ $325 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 96¢ $50 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 96¢ $300 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? SELL Yes 99¢ $312 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 96¢ $300 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? SELL Yes 99¢ $313 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 95¢ $902 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 42¢ $23 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 95¢ $2,204 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +13.4% +2.6% 86% 27% -9.2%
≤30d 72 +8.6% -1.7% 89% 17% -9.0%
≤90d 164 +7.1% -3.1% 83% 13% -9.3%
all 168 +7.0% -3.2% 83% 12% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 12% -9.1%
10% -12.5% 10% -17.8%
15% -20.9% 5% -25.8%
20% -28.7% 5% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,304.43 · official $4,304.43 (match) · 570 history records