Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T11:05:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x32f8…09cb crypto 96 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$17 (+1%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate53%51W / 45L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day131.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$260
sports 3% −$25
other 3% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 48% +5.8%
≤30d 96 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 48% +5.8%
≤90d 96 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 48% +5.8%
all 96 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 48% +5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 48% +5.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 39% -4.3%
15% -34.7% 33% -13.6%
20% -41.1% 19% -22.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +17% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt +17% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$5 · ×1.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.02 per $1 lost it wins $2.02
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses51 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)96 / 96
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day131.5
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 96 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $154 +$78 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $127 +$28 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$40 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$15 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $61 +$29 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $81 +$19 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $22 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $16 −$6 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 18 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$2 +162%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $232 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $142 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 330 history records