Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:46:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x32f6…308c crypto 750 markets active 2d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (479 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$371 (-1%) realized −$371 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%433W / 379L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day479.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$711
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (479 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 694 -12.9% -21.2% 52% 52% -16.4%
≤30d 812 -9.0% -17.7% 53% 53% -14.4%
≤90d 812 -9.0% -17.7% 53% 53% -14.4%
all 812 -9.0% -17.7% 53% 53% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover479.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 53% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 53% -22.6%
15% -32.8% 33% -30.1%
20% -39.4% 32% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$35 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$371
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses433 / 379
Open positions0
Markets (closed)812 / 750
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$36
Trades / day479.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 812 Trades
no open positions (371 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $9 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $25 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $15 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $14 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records