Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:05:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x32ed…4391 sports 1647 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,828 (+2%) realized +$2,029 · open −$201
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1611W / 26L
Drawdown48%max
Avg bet$73per market
Trades / day59.5pace
Fees−$72est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$611now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$259
7 days+$928
14 days+$1,030
30 days+$882
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 96% +$810
other 3% +$27
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 447 +1.7% -8.0% 99% 2% -7.2%
≤30d 1341 +0.8% -8.8% 98% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 1637 +0.8% -8.8% 98% 1% -8.7%
all 1637 +0.8% -8.8% 98% 1% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 1% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 1% -17.5%
15% -25.5% 1% -25.4%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$52 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.77 per $1 lost it wins $1.77
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$611
Realized+$2,029
Unrealized−$201
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1611 / 26
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1637 / 1647
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$73
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 9 History 1637 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Women Bolszewo: Completed Match: Sonja Zhenikhova vs Weronika Falkowska Yes 99¢ 100¢ $198 $199 +$1 (+1%)
ITF Women Klosters: Completed Match: Eva Marie Voracek vs Sarina Schnyder Yes 99¢ 50¢ $198 $100 −$98 (-49%)
Varvara Panshina vs. Yuyao Li: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 100¢ 100¢ $78 $78 +$0 (+0%)
Set Handicap: Falkowska (-1.5) vs Zhenikhova (+1.5) Falkowska 99¢ 100¢ $49 $49 +$0 (+1%)
Sheng Tang vs. Siwanat Auytayakul: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 99¢ 100¢ $47 $47 +$0 (+1%)
Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs. Pridankina/Tang: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 99¢ 50¢ $78 $39 −$39 (-49%)
Waldner vs. Wessels: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $67 $34 −$33 (-49%)
Waldner vs. Wessels: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $67 $34 −$33 (-49%)
ITF Haskovo: Selena Janicijevic vs Yoana Konstantinova Selena Janicijevic 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set Handicap: Karatancheva (-1.5) vs Garnevska (+1.5) Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
ITF Haskovo: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Oana Georgeta Simion Jun 17 $136 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Voracek vs Schnyder Jun 17 $54 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Leykina vs Schmidt Jun 17 $103 +$1 +1%
ITF Klosters: Julia Stusek vs Zoe Kaegi Jun 17 $14 $0 -0%
Set Handicap: Tang (-1.5) vs Auytayakul (+1.5) Jun 17 $63 +$1 +2%
ITF Zhengzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Yuyao Li Jun 17 $220 $0 +0%
Panshina vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 17 $78 $0 +0%
Panshina vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 17 $78 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5) Jun 16 $23 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Balshaw (-1.5) vs Coulibaly (+1.5) Jun 16 $200 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Berkieta (-1.5) vs Bueno (+1.5) Jun 16 $78 $0 +0%
Bueno vs. Berkieta: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $60 $0 +0%
Bueno vs. Berkieta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $60 $0 +0%
ITF Bolszewo: Romane Longueville vs Victoria Bosio Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Eliakim Coulibaly vs. Felix Balshaw: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $78 $0 +0%
Majchrzak vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $78 $0 +0%
Droguet vs. Broom: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Mazza vs. Serafini: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $23 $0 +1%
Manuel Mazza vs. Marcello Serafini: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $193 +$2 +1%
Set Handicap: Mazza (-1.5) vs Serafini (+1.5) Jun 16 $55 +$1 +1%
Royan: Completed Match: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manas Jun 16 $148 +$1 +1%
Royan: Completed Match: Gomez/Ravel vs Jonge/Opitz Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Nottingham Open: Completed Match: Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs Pridankina/T Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Nottingham Open: Completed Match: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bejlek vs. Pliskova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $83 +$1 +1%
Parma: Completed Match: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Alexander Weis Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Set Handicap: Valle (-1.5) vs Weis (+1.5) Jun 16 $178 +$2 +1%
Halle Open: Completed Match: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Royan: Completed Match: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Lucas Poullain Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Set Handicap: Silva (-1.5) vs Erhard (+1.5) Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5) Jun 16 $49 $0 +1%
Suzan Lamens vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $78 +$1 +2%
Dublin: Completed Match: Oliver Crawford vs Daniil Glinka Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Nottingham Open (Doubles): Guarachi/Rosolska vs Bouzkova/Panova Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Golubic (-1.5) vs Kenin (+1.5) Jun 16 $182 +$2 +1%
Golubic vs. Kenin: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Krumich vs. Wazny: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $197 +$2 +1%
Krumich vs. Wazny: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $78 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Gao (+1.5) Jun 16 $178 +$2 +1%
Royan: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Lee Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Grass Court Championships: Completed Match: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parr Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Brooksby vs. Damm: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Halle Open: Completed Match: Cobolli/Shelton vs Pavlasek/Vavassori Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Poznan: Completed Match: Milos Karol vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Maxime Janvier vs. Emilien Demanet: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Royan: Completed Match: Maxime Janvier vs Emilien Demanet Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Royan: Completed Match: Cosme de Ravel vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux Jun 16 $119 +$1 +1%
Maxim Mrva vs. Akira Santillan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Dublin: Completed Match: Grigor Dimitrov vs Chris Rodesch Jun 16 $198 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set Handicap: Falkowska (-1.5) vs Zhenikhova (+1.5) BUY Falkowska 99¢ $49 3m
ITF Women Klosters: Completed Match: Eva Marie Voracek vs Sarina Schny BUY Yes 99¢ $198 5m
ITF Women Bolszewo: Completed Match: Sonja Zhenikhova vs Weronika Falk BUY Yes 99¢ $198 12m
Waldner vs. Wessels: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $67 16m
Set 1 Winner: Leykina vs Schmidt SELL Leykina 100¢ $104 17m
ITF Klosters: Julia Stusek vs Zoe Kaegi SELL Julia Stusek 100¢ $14 17m
Waldner vs. Wessels: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $67 23m
ITF Haskovo: Selena Janicijevic vs Yoana Konstantinova BUY Selena Janicijevic 99¢ $30 33m
Set Handicap: Karatancheva (-1.5) vs Garnevska (+1.5) BUY Karatancheva 99¢ $198 45m
ITF Klosters: Julia Stusek vs Zoe Kaegi BUY Julia Stusek 100¢ $14 51m
ITF Haskovo: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Oana Georgeta Simion BUY Ilinca Dalina Amariei 99¢ $136 54m
Set 1 Winner: Leykina vs Schmidt BUY Leykina 99¢ $103 1h
Set 1 Winner: Voracek vs Schnyder BUY Voracek 99¢ $54 1h
Sheng Tang vs. Siwanat Auytayakul: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $47 1h
Set Handicap: Tang (-1.5) vs Auytayakul (+1.5) BUY Auytayakul 98¢ $63 1h
ITF Zhengzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Yuyao Li BUY Varvara Panshina 100¢ $220 2h
Panshina vs. Li: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $78 2h
Panshina vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $78 2h
Varvara Panshina vs. Yuyao Li: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $78 2h
Bueno vs. Berkieta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $60 13h
Bueno vs. Berkieta: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $60 13h
Set Handicap: Berkieta (-1.5) vs Bueno (+1.5) BUY Bueno 100¢ $78 13h
ITF Bolszewo: Romane Longueville vs Victoria Bosio BUY Victoria Bosio 98¢ $49 13h
Set Handicap: Balshaw (-1.5) vs Coulibaly (+1.5) BUY Coulibaly 100¢ $200 13h
Eliakim Coulibaly vs. Felix Balshaw: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $78 13h
Majchrzak vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $78 13h
Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5) BUY Lehecka 99¢ $23 13h
Droguet vs. Broom: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 99¢ $198 13h
Manuel Mazza vs. Marcello Serafini: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $193 14h
Set Handicap: Mazza (-1.5) vs Serafini (+1.5) BUY Serafini 99¢ $34 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $611.04 · official $486.30 · 3500 history records