Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:45:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32ec…645e
crypto · 104 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$3,242 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,439 · open −$199
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$436
Realized+$3,439
Unrealized−$199
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses54 / 31
Open positions21
Markets (closed)85 / 104
History coverage13d
Avg bet$149
Trades / day265.5
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 21 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,775
7 days+$1,754
14 days+$3,439
30 days+$3,439
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $45 $73 +$28 (+62%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $45 $68 +$23 (+52%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $120 $50 −$70 (-58%)
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $115 $40 −$75 (-65%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $27 +$7 (+35%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-17%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-30%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-70%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 60¢ 57¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $310 +$374 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $204 +$192 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $280 +$88 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $380 +$304 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $260 −$118 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$42 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $381 −$335 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $373 +$234 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$40 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$51 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $320 −$297 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $197 +$194 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $223 +$86 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $271 −$44 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$54 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $321 +$151 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$18 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $381 +$423 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $256 +$249 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$16 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $381 −$247 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$160 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$454 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $357 +$202 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch Jun 04 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $206 +$256 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 03 $10 +$15 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $160 −$160 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $211 +$235 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 31 $73 +$113 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 31 $129 +$121 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $209 +$168 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 31 $103 +$28 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 31 $296 +$67 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 31 $82 +$98 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 31 $21 +$33 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 31 $342 +$168 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 31 $132 +$154 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$3,466
other 4% −$221
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $38 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $28 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $28 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $53 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +26.4% +14.4% 59% 59% +17.4%
≤30d 85 +42.9% +29.3% 64% 64% +9.5%
≤90d 85 +42.9% +29.3% 64% 64% +9.5%
all 85 +42.9% +29.3% 64% 64% +9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover265.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.3% 64% +9.5%
10% ← realistic here +16.9% 61% -1.0%
15% +5.6% 56% -10.6%
20% -4.8% 42% -19.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $436.15 · official $435.97 (match) · 3500 history records