Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:10:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32e7…0ec7
sports · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$5
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)8 / 11
History coverage4d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 19¢ 19¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$103 +1999%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$6 +137%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $33 +$18 +54%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $143 −$109 -76%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 65% −$109
sports 28% +$113
other 5% −$7
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026? SELL Yes 47¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 88¢ $108 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 28¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $5 6h
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 6h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 41¢ $4 8h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 10¢ $5 8h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $51 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $23 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $10 28h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $34 39h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 11¢ $143 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+192.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +223.7% +192.8% 38% 38% -7.3%
≤30d 8 +223.7% +192.8% 38% 38% -7.3%
≤90d 8 +223.7% +192.8% 38% 38% -7.3%
all 8 +223.7% +192.8% 38% 38% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +192.8% 38% -7.3%
10% +164.8% 38% -16.1%
15% +139.2% 38% -24.2%
20% +115.8% 38% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.09 · official $10.09 · 18 history records