Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T20:47:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

32 0x32e6…a01d crypto 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage

Total PnL −$102 (-46%) realized −$102 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt -82% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -84% what you keep after slip

Net edge-84%after slip

Net WR0%break-even

Win rate0%0W / 5L

Drawdown100%max

Avg bet$44per market

Trades / day7.0pace

Kalshi-fit100%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-83.3%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	5	-81.6%	-83.3%	0%	0%	-51.6%
≤30d	5	-81.6%	-83.3%	0%	0%	-51.6%
≤90d	5	-81.6%	-83.3%	0%	0%	-51.6%
all	5	-81.6%	-83.3%	0%	0%	-51.6%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover7.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-83.3%	0%	-51.6%
10%	-84.9%	0%	-56.2%
15%	-86.4%	0%	-60.5%
20%	-87.7%	0%	-64.3%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top —% · top 2 —% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI -46% too few recent

Fragile wins

—% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt -82% · $-wt -46% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

— vs −$20 no data

Profit factor

×0.0 loses more than it wins

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized−$102

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 5

Open positions0

Markets (closed)5 / 5

History coverage1d

Avg bet$44

Trades / day7.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 5 Trades

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Jun 24	$25	−$25	-100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Jun 24	$26	−$26	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Jun 24	$26	−$26	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Jun 24	$14	−$14	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Jun 24	$127	−$10	-8%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	BUY Down	90¢	$25	1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	BUY Down	17¢	$26	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	BUY Up	15¢	$26	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	BUY Up	2¢	$14	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	BUY Up	98¢	$25	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	SELL Up	62¢	$92	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	BUY Up	66¢	$102	1h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records