Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32e3…92b9
sports · 89 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$73 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$0
Realized+$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses45 / 44
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)89 / 89
History coverage58d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$42
14 days+$126
30 days+$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 13¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks 76ers 30¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Cavaliers 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks 76ers 21¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
76ers vs. Celtics Celtics 72¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Yes 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Cavaliers 42¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 12¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 Yes 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 41¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5 No 84¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $39 +$71 +185%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $24 −$2 -9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $23 −$23 -98%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +74%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $31 +$49 +158%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $15 +$36 +234%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5 May 08 $3 +$2 +73%
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5 May 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 07 $10 −$4 -41%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 06 $2 −$2 -98%
76ers vs. Knicks May 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5 May 06 $2 +$2 +89%
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5 May 06 $5 +$4 +73%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 05 $6 −$6 -98%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 05 $12 −$12 -97%
76ers vs. Knicks May 03 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoff May 03 $15 +$7 +49%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs May 03 $4 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs May 02 $5 +$2 +38%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Lakers vs. Rockets May 02 $10 +$14 +138%
Utah vs. Golden Knights May 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves May 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors May 01 $5 −$5 -99%
76ers vs. Celtics May 01 $10 −$10 -99%
Celtics vs. 76ers May 01 $6 +$10 +164%
Knicks vs. Hawks May 01 $5 +$4 +76%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 30 $3 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Apr 30 $9 +$1 +16%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 29 $7 +$3 +49%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 29 $6 +$1 +16%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 29 $1 $0 +0%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 29 $3 +$1 +44%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Thunder vs. Suns Apr 28 $2 $0 +23%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Apr 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 26 $3 +$2 +83%
Thunder vs. Suns Apr 25 $5 +$1 +27%
Oilers vs. Ducks Apr 25 $11 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 25 $5 +$3 +66%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 25 $5 $0 -3%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 25 $2 $0 -5%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $13 +$18 +136%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$106
crypto 11% −$14
culture 1% $0
other 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 12¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $109 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $2 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $5 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $5 3h
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 51¢ $5 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $14 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $7 35h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $10 39h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 17¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 18¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 77¢ $75 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 28¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 13¢ $3 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 13¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 12¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 45¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 37¢ $5 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 43¢ $5 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 44¢ $3 5d
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 SELL Yes 99¢ $9 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $10 5d
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 BUY Yes 61¢ $5 5d
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 BUY Yes 56¢ $5 5d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $79 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -15.3% -23.4% 44% 44% +32.1%
≤30d 11 +23.2% +11.5% 55% 55% +73.7%
≤90d 89 -7.2% -16.1% 51% 45% +6.1%
all 89 -7.2% -16.1% 51% 45% +6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 45% +6.1%
10% -24.1% 39% -4.1%
15% -31.4% 30% -13.3%
20% -38.1% 22% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 248 history records