Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:01:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32e0…a295
sports · 620 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$3,070 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,059 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$256
Realized−$3,059
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses435 / 182
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$521
Open positions3
Markets (closed)617 / 620
History coverage92d
Avg bet$134
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 617 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$333
7 days−$246
14 days−$147
30 days−$1,706
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 Over 85¢ 84¢ $119 $117 −$2 (-2%)
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) Knicks 86¢ 83¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5 Over 80¢ 71¢ $47 $42 −$5 (-11%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 81¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Over 93¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Serbia 76¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: England (-1.5) England 77¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Guatemala 68¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Exact Score: FC Universitatea Cluj 1 - 1 Dinamo 1948? No 87¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Cavaliers 76¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 62¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
76ers vs. Celtics Celtics 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Over 86¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Celtics vs. 76ers Celtics 68¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5 Under 84¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5 Under 91¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 159.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Over 86¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Over 72¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Thunder 77¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Magic Magic 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $101 +$19 +19%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $100 −$7 -7%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 −$4 -4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $101 +$28 +27%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $99 +$33 +33%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 13 $52 −$52 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $201 −$200 -99%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $201 −$200 -100%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $201 +$19 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $202 +$106 +52%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $200 +$17 +8%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $202 +$84 +41%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $201 +$26 +13%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $201 +$32 +16%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $151 +$23 +15%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $198 −$198 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 Jun 11 $324 +$26 +8%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 11 $117 −$117 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $151 −$34 -22%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $150 +$14 +10%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 Jun 10 $152 +$126 +83%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $150 +$14 +10%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5 Jun 10 $151 +$24 +16%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $150 +$18 +12%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $150 +$11 +7%
Spread: China PR (-2.5) Jun 09 $150 +$14 +10%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $150 −$150 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $150 +$16 +11%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Jun 09 $108 +$17 +16%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Jun 09 $127 +$17 +13%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $150 +$18 +12%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5 Jun 09 $152 +$106 +70%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $150 +$11 +7%
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) Jun 08 $251 +$27 +11%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Jun 07 $506 −$250 -49%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $252 +$69 +27%
Tokushima Vortis vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $200 +$17 +8%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5 Jun 07 $254 +$236 +93%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5 Jun 07 $254 +$247 +97%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 06 $252 −$30 -12%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 06 $252 −$250 -99%
Spread: Albania (-1.5) Jun 06 $251 +$27 +11%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5 Jun 06 $254 −$214 -84%
Exact Score: Gibraltar 1 - 1 Cayman Islands? Jun 06 $201 +$26 +13%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $251 +$36 +14%
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Tunisia? Jun 06 $251 +$21 +8%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $114 +$5 +4%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $503 +$144 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$3,466
other 4% +$377
world 0% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 BUY Over 85¢ $120 31m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $120 34m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5 BUY Over 80¢ $48 34m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 SELL Over 6¢ $0 48m
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) BUY Knicks 86¢ $100 49m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 83¢ $101 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 SELL Under 81¢ $94 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Morocco 86¢ $96 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 91¢ $1 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 89¢ $100 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Under 86¢ $100 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 74¢ $99 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $101 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 72¢ $52 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $202 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 81¢ $201 24h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 85¢ $201 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 65¢ $202 29h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 91¢ $201 29h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings SELL Dallas Wings 100¢ $285 45h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL Las Vegas Aces 94¢ $227 45h
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 92¢ $200 46h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 83¢ $201 46h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 70¢ $202 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $201 2d
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm SELL Los Angeles Sparks 85¢ $174 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 BUY Over 86¢ $198 2d
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm BUY Los Angeles Sparks 73¢ $151 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 SELL Over 98¢ $350 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 BUY Over 93¢ $110 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -6.7% -15.6% 70% 48% -12.9%
≤30d 180 -3.2% -12.4% 73% 43% -13.2%
≤90d 613 -1.9% -11.3% 71% 50% -12.9%
all 617 -2.2% -11.5% 71% 50% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 50% -12.9%
10% -20.0% 27% -21.2%
15% -27.7% 17% -28.8%
20% -34.8% 10% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $255.82 · official $262.92 · 1396 history records