Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:07:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32da…f236
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$247 -56%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$246 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$246
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage98d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada Cuba 39¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada Mar 11 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Mar 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Mar 10 $40 −$40 -100%
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea Mar 10 $99 +$39 +39%
Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO? Mar 07 $150 −$150 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$220
sports 38% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 1h
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada BUY Cuba 39¢ $65 94d
Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? BUY Yes 1¢ $30 94d
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? BUY Yes 22¢ $40 95d
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea BUY South Korea 72¢ $99 96d
Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 13¢ $150 98d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-74.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 5 -72.2% -74.9% 20% 20% -67.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -74.9% 20% -67.5%
10% -77.3% 20% -70.6%
15% -79.5% 20% -73.4%
20% -81.5% 0% -76.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.54 · official $52.54 (match) · 8 history records