Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32d9…aa35
crypto · 985 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$683 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$130
Realized+$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses763 / 228
Open positions0
Markets (closed)991 / 985
History coverage23d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day110.2
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 991 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $32 $60 +$28 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $21 $30 +$9 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$18 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 388 +6.4% -3.8% 77% 26% -9.5%
≤30d 991 +6.9% -3.3% 77% 27% -8.9%
≤90d 991 +6.9% -3.3% 77% 27% -8.9%
all 991 +6.9% -3.3% 77% 27% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 27% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 12% -17.6%
15% -21.0% 6% -25.6%
20% -28.7% 4% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130.00 · official $130.00 (match) · 3500 history records