trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 25% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 46% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 48% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 24 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $29 | +$1 | +3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 24 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 21 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 21 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 17 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 26 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | May 17 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 07 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $300 in April? | Apr 06 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runo | Apr 04 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the Serie A? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 28 - April 4? | Apr 01 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | Mar 31 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April? | Mar 30 | $23 | $0 | -0% |