Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32c6…7eaf
sports · 123 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$1,587 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,604 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$309
Realized+$1,604
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses74 / 46
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions3
Markets (closed)120 / 123
Avg bet$74
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$4
14 days+$104
30 days+$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates 100¢ 100¢ $231 $232 +$0 (+0%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates - Who wins the toss? Hong Kong, China 100¢ 80¢ $83 $66 −$16 (-20%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 12¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $162 $0 +0%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $171 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $390 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 10 $349 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 9? Jun 10 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 10? Jun 10 $65 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $101 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 8? Jun 09 $200 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 8? Jun 09 $40 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 8? Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 $0 -30%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 8? Jun 09 $63 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 -41%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7? Jun 08 $200 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 7? Jun 08 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $99 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $0 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 07 $110 +$2 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 6? Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 6? Jun 07 $0 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -73%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 5? Jun 06 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $766 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 -45%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $1 +$1 +89%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? Jun 04 $300 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? Jun 04 $248 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $1 +$1 +136%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman Jun 03 $224 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% −$2
sports 50% +$1,590
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 100¢ $31 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 100¢ $200 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 100¢ $36 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 100¢ $4 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 99¢ $20 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 100¢ $20 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates - BUY Hong Kong, China 100¢ $50 1h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates - BUY Hong Kong, China 100¢ $33 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 7h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $39 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $100 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $23 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $62 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $100 17h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 97¢ $5 19h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 97¢ $5 19h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 96¢ $6 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)+19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -18.5% -26.3% 59% 9% -9.4%
≤30d 104 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 11% -7.4%
≤90d 120 +31.9% +19.3% 62% 13% -0.7%
all 120 +31.9% +19.3% 62% 13% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +19.3% 13% -0.7%
10% +7.9% 9% -10.2%
15% -2.5% 8% -18.9%
20% -12.1% 7% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $309.45 · official $309.45 (match) · 654 history records