Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32c5…adc9
crypto · 2146 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$1,274 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,274 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses815 / 629
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1444 / 2146
History coverage22d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day120.2
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days+$980
14 days+$1,225
30 days+$1,274
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,635
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 989 +17.0% +5.8% 60% 59% +20.3%
≤30d 1444 +18.2% +7.0% 56% 55% +19.3%
≤90d 1444 +18.2% +7.0% 56% 55% +19.3%
all 1444 +18.2% +7.0% 56% 55% +19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.0% 55% +19.3%
10% ← realistic here -3.3% 54% +7.9%
15% -12.6% 53% -2.5%
20% -21.2% 52% -12.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $1.13 · 3500 history records