Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32c3…5dc5
crypto · 991 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12,041 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,055 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$124
Realized−$12,055
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses449 / 557
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1006 / 991
History coverage18d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day170.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1006 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,361
7 days−$14,408
14 days−$13,431
30 days−$12,055
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 50¢ $70 $68 −$2 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 57¢ 81¢ $40 $57 +$17 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$44 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +387%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $249 −$249 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $667 −$667 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,090
other 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $139 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $30 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 660 -26.0% -33.0% 33% 32% -55.4%
≤30d 1006 -1.3% -10.7% 45% 43% -39.3%
≤90d 1006 -1.3% -10.7% 45% 43% -39.3%
all 1006 -1.3% -10.7% 45% 43% -39.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover170.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 43% -39.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 42% -45.1%
15% -27.1% 40% -50.4%
20% -34.2% 36% -55.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.25 · official $171.61 · 3500 history records