Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32c3…6ae0
sports · 20 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$11 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$45
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses4 / 10
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)14 / 20
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 6 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 20¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-27%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 25¢ 29¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 26¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+86%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 6.5 Corners Over 44¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 55¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 33¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Over $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$14 +272%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$19 +1843%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$14 +266%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% +$23
other 39% −$32
crypto 8% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $10 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 55¢ $5 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 44¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $19 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 33¢ $5 7h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $19 7h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes $1 8h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 11h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 11h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 14h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 20h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 25¢ $5 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 27¢ $5 20h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes $0 27h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 27h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 31h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes $3 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $24 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 BUY Over $5 32h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $10 42h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 44h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+88.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +108.5% +88.6% 29% 29% -15.5%
≤30d 14 +108.5% +88.6% 29% 29% -15.5%
≤90d 14 +108.5% +88.6% 29% 29% -15.5%
all 14 +108.5% +88.6% 29% 29% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +88.6% 29% -15.5%
10% +70.6% 29% -23.6%
15% +54.1% 29% -30.9%
20% +39.0% 29% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.08 · official $45.08 (match) · 29 history records