Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32bc…c5bf
crypto · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses39 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage22d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$28
14 days−$19
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $84 +$9 +11%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? May 26 $41 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$28
world 9% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -9.1% -17.7% 79% 21% -11.6%
≤30d 49 -8.4% -17.1% 80% 22% -10.6%
≤90d 49 -8.4% -17.1% 80% 22% -10.6%
all 49 -8.4% -17.1% 80% 22% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 22% -10.6%
10% -25.0% 12% -19.2%
15% -32.3% 8% -27.0%
20% -38.9% 4% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 115 history records