Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32b4…8b21
sports · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$244,597 -62%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$238,362 · open −$14,024
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62,930
Realized−$238,362
Unrealized−$14,024
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses140 / 369
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$4,872
Open positions38
Markets (closed)509 / 109
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3,638
Trades / day1791.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 38 History 509 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$238,362
7 days−$238,362
14 days−$238,362
30 days−$238,362
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 67¢ 100¢ $14,768 $21,877 +$7,108 (+48%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 57¢ 42¢ $12,020 $8,961 −$3,059 (-25%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 58¢ 100¢ $2,234 $3,822 +$1,588 (+71%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 46¢ 83¢ $2,031 $3,637 +$1,606 (+79%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 79¢ 79¢ $2,354 $2,350 −$5 (-0%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 53¢ 100¢ $1,096 $2,069 +$973 (+89%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 40¢ 16¢ $4,643 $1,836 −$2,807 (-60%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 59¢ 56¢ $1,844 $1,758 −$86 (-5%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 51¢ 52¢ $1,699 $1,749 +$50 (+3%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 44¢ 44¢ $1,555 $1,573 +$18 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 48¢ 17¢ $3,907 $1,383 −$2,524 (-65%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 66¢ 66¢ $1,026 $1,034 +$8 (+1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 51¢ 52¢ $907 $916 +$9 (+1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 30¢ $1,575 $908 −$666 (-42%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 90¢ 84¢ $936 $874 −$62 (-7%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 48¢ 48¢ $834 $829 −$5 (-1%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 77¢ 78¢ $771 $785 +$14 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 42¢ 42¢ $735 $744 +$9 (+1%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ 62¢ $698 $704 +$6 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ 38¢ $635 $701 +$65 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 34¢ 42¢ $553 $681 +$128 (+23%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 65¢ 66¢ $606 $620 +$14 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 73¢ 58¢ $590 $473 −$117 (-20%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 69¢ 68¢ $472 $470 −$2 (-0%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 52¢ $398 $406 +$8 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $206 −$83 -40%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 12 $205 +$4,275 +2087%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $109 +$302 +276%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $3,101 −$987 -32%
Cervia: Juan Martin vs Michele Ribecai Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $881 −$881 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $216 +$179 +83%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $958 −$937 -98%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 12 $18 −$15 -81%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $2,600 −$2,253 -87%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 12 $3,681 −$3,627 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $248 +$59 +24%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 12 $410 −$294 -72%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Jun 12 $1,325 −$1,658 -125%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $1,529 −$1,230 -80%
Birmingham: Greet Minnen vs Alina Charaeva Jun 12 $1,586 −$1,643 -104%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 12 $447 −$447 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 12 $166 −$152 -91%
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 12 $371 −$384 -103%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 12 $191 −$180 -94%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens Jun 12 $366 −$128 -35%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Jun 12 $898 −$1,161 -129%
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Jun 12 $437 −$409 -94%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 12 $149 +$487 +327%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $1,431 −$1,431 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $181 −$181 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 12 $294 −$39 -13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Jun 12 $915 −$5,913 -646%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 12 $841 −$337 -40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $62 −$51 -81%
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Jun 12 $531 −$476 -90%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $1,552 −$491 -32%
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 12 $426 −$423 -99%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 12 $888 −$888 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $691 −$99 -14%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $95 +$74 +78%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 12 $662 +$868 +131%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Jun 12 $386 −$386 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $201 +$494 +246%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $7,372 −$7,778 -106%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 12 $1,735 −$1,735 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $215 +$349 +162%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $19 −$9 -49%
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova Jun 12 $183 +$632 +346%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$8,463
other 1% +$181
crypto 0% +$1,496
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 20¢ $1 0m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 27¢ $54 0m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 20¢ $0 0m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 20¢ $1 0m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 77¢ $721 0m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 20¢ $0 0m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 20¢ $13 0m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ $468 2m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ $230 2m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 19¢ $2 2m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 5¢ $0 4m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 5¢ $0 4m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 5¢ $44 4m
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 33¢ $2 6m
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 33¢ $246 6m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 90¢ $896 10m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 66¢ $4 10m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 73¢ $590 12m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $281 13m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 89¢ $40 14m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 61¢ $81 16m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 61¢ $1,749 16m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 42¢ $652 17m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 44¢ $2 17m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 42¢ $1 17m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 44¢ $1,302 19m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 27¢ $847 19m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 16¢ $23 20m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 16¢ $36 20m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 21¢ $15 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+48.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 509 +64.5% +48.8% 28% 26% -38.6%
≤30d 509 +64.5% +48.8% 28% 26% -38.6%
≤90d 509 +64.5% +48.8% 28% 26% -38.6%
all 509 +64.5% +48.8% 28% 26% -38.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1791.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +48.8% 26% -38.6%
10% +34.6% 24% -44.5%
15% ← realistic here +21.6% 22% -49.9%
20% +9.6% 21% -54.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62,930.49 · official $62,930.78 (match) · 3500 history records