trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 37% | 37% | -46.2% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -28.6% | -35.4% | 32% | 32% | -50.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -28.6% | -35.4% | 32% | 32% | -50.2% |
| all | 22 | -28.6% | -35.4% | 32% | 32% | -50.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.4% | 32% | -50.2% |
| 10% | -41.6% | 32% | -55.0% |
| 15% | -47.2% | 32% | -59.3% |
| 20% | -52.4% | 27% | -63.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $35 | $34 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-9%) |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 | Over | 29¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Argentina | 43¢ | 36¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$15 | +152% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $20 | +$28 | +140% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | May 30 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |