Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32a8…be9b
weather · 891 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$407 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$408 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$145
Realized+$408
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses716 / 161
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)877 / 891
History coverage96d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 877 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$5
14 days+$43
30 days+$277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Yes 89¢ 99¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Yes 95¢ 97¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 2? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15? Yes 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 20? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 23? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $20 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$3 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$392
crypto 0% +$14
sports 0% −$1
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 4m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 56m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 57m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 92¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 73¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 88¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 85¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 86¢ $10 6h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $8 6h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 6h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 6h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 86¢ $10 8h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL Yes 81¢ $11 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 92¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 83¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 89¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 70¢ $9 10h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 84¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 11h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -0.1% -9.6% 82% 15% -9.1%
≤30d 489 +8.1% -2.2% 84% 19% -5.5%
≤90d 840 +3.3% -6.5% 82% 17% -7.5%
all 877 +3.3% -6.6% 82% 17% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 17% -7.5%
10% -15.5% 9% -16.3%
15% -23.7% 6% -24.4%
20% -31.2% 4% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $145.06 · official $145.06 (match) · 2480 history records