Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32a2…505c
crypto · 1158 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,912 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,912 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,358
Realized−$1,912
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1134 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1158 / 1158
History coverage20d
Avg bet$1,113
Trades / day114.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,196
7 days−$3,280
14 days−$13,461
30 days−$1,912
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $4,950 $5,000 +$50 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1,165 $1,177 +$12 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1,086 $1,097 +$11 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $880 $889 +$9 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $470 $475 +$5 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $252 $255 +$3 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $248 $250 +$3 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $96 $97 +$1 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $83 $83 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2,167 $0 −$2,167 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $740 $0 −$740 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $739 $0 −$739 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1,086 $0 −$1,086 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2,227 $0 −$2,227 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $742 $0 −$742 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2,256 $0 −$2,256 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $716 $0 −$716 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2,468 $0 −$2,468 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1,475 $0 −$1,475 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1,542 $0 −$1,542 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,477 +$23 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2,476 +$24 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $524 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,370 +$130 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,071 +$29 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $523 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,566 +$15 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $299 +$8 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $742 +$8 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,832 +$17 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,062 +$38 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $742 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3,731 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $239 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $736 +$14 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2,433 +$67 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $738 +$12 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,080 +$20 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,364 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $437 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $482 +$21 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1,534 +$14 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $633 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,077 +$23 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $742 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $306 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $155 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $539 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2,477 +$23 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $530 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,016 +$16 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $22 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $94 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $534 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $740 −$740 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1,087 +$13 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $483 +$7 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $429 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $2,243 −$2,227 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $171 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $2,442 +$23 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,912
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $131 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $535 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,941 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,476 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $524 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $63 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2,370 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1,071 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $523 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,467 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $184 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $299 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $742 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,090 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,792 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1,062 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $742 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,731 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $736 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $239 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2,433 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $738 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1,080 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -0.0% -9.6% 98% 2% -10.3%
≤30d 1158 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 2% -9.7%
≤90d 1158 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 2% -9.7%
all 1158 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 2% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 2% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,357.75 · official $9,357.75 (match) · 3500 history records