Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:34:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x3290…ab23 crypto 766 markets active 1h ago coverage 60d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$30 (+0%) realized +$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate84%641W / 125L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day16.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$144
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -0.5% -10.0% 92% 2% -10.3%
≤30d 454 -0.9% -10.3% 83% 13% -10.6%
≤90d 766 -0.1% -9.6% 84% 11% -9.9%
all 766 -0.1% -9.6% 84% 11% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 11% -9.9%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$11 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses641 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)766 / 766
History coverage60d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 766 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$13 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1620 history records