Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:15:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x328c…cbbc
crypto · 312 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,892 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,796 · open −$150
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,257
Realized−$5,796
Unrealized−$150
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses213 / 456
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions63
Markets (closed)669 / 312
History coverage26d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day129.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 63 History 669 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,237
7 days−$6,153
14 days−$6,174
30 days−$5,796
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? No 89¢ 96¢ $529 $573 +$44 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 15? No 85¢ 99¢ $347 $405 +$58 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? No 96¢ 98¢ $287 $294 +$7 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? No 86¢ 98¢ $234 $265 +$30 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? No 84¢ 87¢ $252 $261 +$9 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 18? No 91¢ 94¢ $232 $240 +$8 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 88¢ 98¢ $206 $227 +$22 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $217 $224 +$6 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? No 76¢ 74¢ $228 $220 −$8 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? No 83¢ 99¢ $182 $216 +$35 (+19%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? No 84¢ 88¢ $197 $205 +$8 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? No 92¢ 93¢ $176 $179 +$2 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? No 78¢ 79¢ $163 $165 +$2 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 89¢ 99¢ $129 $143 +$14 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? No 83¢ 84¢ $138 $140 +$2 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? No 96¢ 98¢ $134 $137 +$3 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15? No 81¢ 91¢ $109 $123 +$14 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15? No 91¢ 94¢ $119 $122 +$3 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Yes 88¢ 98¢ $83 $93 +$10 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $73 $73 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 80¢ 98¢ $58 $72 +$13 (+23%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17? No 83¢ 84¢ $69 $71 +$2 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? No 84¢ 84¢ $67 $67 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? No 95¢ 98¢ $52 $54 +$2 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? No 78¢ 62¢ $66 $52 −$14 (-22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? Jun 13 $0 −$58 -18992%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 10? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +148%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? Jun 13 $0 +$6 +2424%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -106%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 1? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 4? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -116%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21? Jun 13 $0 $0 +91%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 11? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +251%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 1? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -20%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8? Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -270%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 30? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8? Jun 13 $0 $0 -78%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 16? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19? Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 18? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -127%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30? Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 21? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 1? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 7? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -103%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +531%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2? Jun 13 $14 −$6 -43%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? Jun 13 $400 −$400 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -125%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 31? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -104%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10? Jun 13 $126 −$126 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25? Jun 13 $0 $0 -26%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 8? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5? Jun 13 $0 +$2 +3445%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -3719%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 9-15? Jun 13 $999 −$738 -74%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9? Jun 13 $39 +$5 +12%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 5? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 4? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on April 19? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$881
other 2% −$418
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? BUY No 84¢ $42 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 87¢ $53 11m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? BUY No 84¢ $25 14m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $90 16m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? SELL No 99¢ $48 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? SELL No 99¢ $35 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $34 55m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 96¢ $73 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17? BUY No 84¢ $16 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? SELL No 99¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? SELL No 99¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? SELL No 99¢ $40 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? SELL No 99¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? BUY No 89¢ $18 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $48 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 88¢ $23 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $21 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? BUY No 82¢ $8 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? BUY No 82¢ $17 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $61 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? BUY No 82¢ $17 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? BUY No 82¢ $17 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+35.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 507 +63.8% +48.2% 25% 18% -53.3%
≤30d 669 +50.0% +35.7% 32% 22% -27.1%
≤90d 669 +50.0% +35.7% 32% 22% -27.1%
all 669 +50.0% +35.7% 32% 22% -27.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.7% 22% -27.1%
10% ← realistic here +22.7% 16% -34.1%
15% +10.9% 13% -40.5%
20% +0.0% 12% -46.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,257.27 · official $5,253.08 (match) · 3500 history records