Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:31:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3283…23a3
sports · 202 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$161 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$545
Realized−$132
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses80 / 120
Est. fees paid−$204
Open positions2
Markets (closed)200 / 202
History coverage70d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day39.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$133
14 days−$311
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand New Zealand 69¢ 70¢ $414 $427 +$12 (+3%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Australia 83¢ 98¢ $98 $115 +$17 (+18%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa South Africa 26¢ 2¢ $43 $3 −$39 (-92%)
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? No 72¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire Warwickshire 19¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Sussex 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 30¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Sunrisers Hyderabad 26¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? No 48¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 51¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season T1 Academy 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand New Zealand 25¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? No 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw? No 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex Middlesex 22¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 17¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kent Middlesex 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Valorant: The Rad Syndicate vs Revenant XSpark (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season The Rad Syndicate 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essex Essex 26¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $191 −$3 -1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $511 −$10 -2%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $450 +$34 +8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $152 −$38 -25%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $14 +$28 +201%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 10 $5 +$5 +83%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 09 $41 −$21 -51%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $112 −$15 -13%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $53 −$32 -60%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $77 −$7 -9%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Kent Jun 07 $24 −$24 -98%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 06 $199 −$45 -23%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $186 +$55 +30%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Jun 05 $70 −$30 -43%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire Jun 05 $118 −$22 -18%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $327 −$17 -5%
Valorant: Revenant XSpark vs S8UL Esports (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regu Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $66 −$9 -14%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex Jun 03 $36 −$36 -98%
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 03 $1 $0 +18%
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regula Jun 03 $7 −$5 -75%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex Jun 03 $167 +$31 +19%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $136 −$92 -68%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: La Jun 02 $0 $0 -97%
Valorant: Alter Ego vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Last Jun 01 $2 +$50 +2912%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Last C Jun 01 $3 +$4 +142%
Valorant: ROY Esports vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Last Jun 01 $0 +$3 +5828%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $8 −$8 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qu May 30 $92 +$10 +11%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex May 30 $82 −$9 -11%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Quali May 30 $90 +$8 +9%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $19 +$14 +70%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 30 $168 −$73 -44%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $51 −$51 -99%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire May 29 $115 −$27 -23%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $33 +$22 +65%
T20 Blast: Kent vs Essex May 29 $40 +$1 +2%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $700 +$505 +72%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire May 28 $103 −$25 -24%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $147 −$92 -63%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $27 −$23 -85%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essex May 26 $89 −$87 -98%
Valorant: SIGN Esports vs Asterisk (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Sea May 26 $5 −$3 -57%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - May 26 $33 −$11 -34%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $6 −$6 -98%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act May 26 $14 −$9 -68%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $85 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$253
other 1% +$18
finance 1% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 84¢ $55 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 84¢ $4 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 81¢ $4 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 81¢ $4 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 85¢ $85 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 85¢ $68 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 12¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL South Africa 22¢ $8 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 19¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 20¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 19¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 18¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 18¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 22¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 25¢ $7 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 73¢ $29 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 27¢ $14 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 30¢ $15 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 30¢ $9 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 68¢ $30 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 66¢ $35 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 68¢ $34 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Scotland 85¢ $17 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 83¢ $72 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 83¢ $5 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 83¢ $6 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 90¢ $18 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 90¢ $18 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 41¢ $8 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 42¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -13.8% -22.0% 21% 14% -16.1%
≤30d 140 +10.7% +0.2% 37% 31% -10.0%
≤90d 200 +8.2% -2.1% 40% 32% -10.7%
all 200 +8.2% -2.1% 40% 32% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 32% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.5% 26% -19.2%
15% -20.0% 20% -27.0%
20% -27.9% 18% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $544.93 · official $544.93 (match) · 2924 history records