trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 60% | 40% | -30.3% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 54% | 38% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 54% | 38% | -10.3% |
| all | 19 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 58% | 37% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 37% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -28.0% | 32% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 21% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 11% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $14 | −$10 | -68% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$9 | +92% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $45 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$5 | -75% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -77% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$5 | +43% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $252 | +$52 | +21% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $69 | −$15 | -22% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 03 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea ele | Jun 03 | $8 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit | Jun 03 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 03 | $10 | −$9 | -91% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 03 | $60 | +$4 | +7% |
| Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan | May 31 | $7 | +$5 | +64% |