Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T16:16:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x3281…8bc8 crypto 1029 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1438 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,011 (+0%) realized +$3,077 · open −$2,066
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate15%157W / 870L
Whale WR30%big bets
Drawdown5%max
Avg bet$362per market
Trades / day1438.0pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$4,160now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$1,692
other 4% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1438 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1027 -0.4% -9.8% 15% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1027 -0.4% -9.8% 15% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1027 -0.4% -9.8% 15% 0% -9.4%
all 1027 -0.4% -9.8% 15% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1438.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 30% (≥$625) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
0.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×6.7 per $1 lost it wins $6.7
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$4,160
Realized+$3,077
Unrealized−$2,066
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses157 / 870
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1027 / 1029
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$362
Trades / day1438.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 1027 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $738 $1,468 +$730 (+99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $512 $1,020 +$507 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $462 $925 +$462 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $312 $625 +$312 (+100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $28 $55 +$27 (+100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $28 $55 +$27 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $738 $7 −$730 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $512 $5 −$507 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$27 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 4 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 20 $0 −$4 -8069%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $0 −$7 -13038%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $0 −$8 -8512%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $1,025 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $1,475 +$11 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $1,025 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $1,475 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $925 +$2 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $1,475 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $1,025 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $625 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $1,025 +$1 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $1,475 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $55 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $1,475 +$4 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $55 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,160.00 · official $4,160.00 (match) · 3500 history records